For shot rates, news would have to look at VAERS and that data is from multiple sources (not straight from death records, so that may be why news reports on that are [crickets].
Nevertheless. How about a comparison of 2021 death rates in VAERS with 2021 fentanyl death rates? (2021 because of the lag publishing final info.)
A VAERS user found 60/day in VAERS for 2021 in the U.S. Assuming a very conservative underreporting rate of 10x, that’s 600 deaths/day in 2021.
Do you concur?
Here’s my estimate of 2021 fentanyl death rates from two sources:
1. 71,238 deaths/365 days = 195 deaths/day average
2. 70,601 deaths 365 days = 193 deaths/day average
U.S. Overdose Deaths In 2021 Increased Half as Much as in 2020 – But Are Still Up 15%
For Immediate Release: May 11, 2022
Provisional data from CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics indicate there were an estimated 107,622 drug overdose deaths in the United States during 2021, an increase of nearly 15% from the 93,655 deaths estimated in 2020. The 2021 increase was half of what it was a year ago, when overdose deaths rose 30% from 2019 to 2020.
The data is featured in an interactive web data visualization. The 2021 data presented in this visualization are provisional – they are incomplete and subject to change.
The new data show overdose deaths involving opioids increased from an estimated 70,029 in 2020 to 80,816 in 2021. Overdose deaths from synthetic opioids (primarily fentanyl), psychostimulants such as methamphetamine, and cocaine also continued to increase in 2021 compared to 2020.
NCHS releases both reported and predicted provisional drug overdose death counts each month. They represent the numbers of these deaths due to drug overdose occurring in the 12-month periods ending in the month indicated. These counts include all seasons of the year and are insensitive to variations by seasonality. Deaths are reported by the jurisdiction in which the death occurred
…
DRUG TYPE (DEATHS 2021) (DEATHS 2020)
Synthetic Opioids (fentanyl) 71,238 57,834
Psychostimulants (meth) 32,856 24,576
Cocaine …
[End quote]
[Note: CDC NCHS interactivechart is not usable on mobile phone]
2. CDC National Institute on drug abuse (NIDA) data
Thank you for this info. Good job
Govt=evil
Hi, Eagle. Thanks for all your thoughts and work.
Death rates for Fentanyl have traction in news.
For shot rates, news would have to look at VAERS and that data is from multiple sources (not straight from death records, so that may be why news reports on that are [crickets].
Nevertheless. How about a comparison of 2021 death rates in VAERS with 2021 fentanyl death rates? (2021 because of the lag publishing final info.)
A VAERS user found 60/day in VAERS for 2021 in the U.S. Assuming a very conservative underreporting rate of 10x, that’s 600 deaths/day in 2021.
Do you concur?
Here’s my estimate of 2021 fentanyl death rates from two sources:
1. 71,238 deaths/365 days = 195 deaths/day average
2. 70,601 deaths 365 days = 193 deaths/day average
Sources:
1. A CDC press release in 2022:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/202205.htm
[Extended quote]:
U.S. Overdose Deaths In 2021 Increased Half as Much as in 2020 – But Are Still Up 15%
For Immediate Release: May 11, 2022
Provisional data from CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics indicate there were an estimated 107,622 drug overdose deaths in the United States during 2021, an increase of nearly 15% from the 93,655 deaths estimated in 2020. The 2021 increase was half of what it was a year ago, when overdose deaths rose 30% from 2019 to 2020.
The data is featured in an interactive web data visualization. The 2021 data presented in this visualization are provisional – they are incomplete and subject to change.
The new data show overdose deaths involving opioids increased from an estimated 70,029 in 2020 to 80,816 in 2021. Overdose deaths from synthetic opioids (primarily fentanyl), psychostimulants such as methamphetamine, and cocaine also continued to increase in 2021 compared to 2020.
NCHS releases both reported and predicted provisional drug overdose death counts each month. They represent the numbers of these deaths due to drug overdose occurring in the 12-month periods ending in the month indicated. These counts include all seasons of the year and are insensitive to variations by seasonality. Deaths are reported by the jurisdiction in which the death occurred
…
DRUG TYPE (DEATHS 2021) (DEATHS 2020)
Synthetic Opioids (fentanyl) 71,238 57,834
Psychostimulants (meth) 32,856 24,576
Cocaine …
[End quote]
[Note: CDC NCHS interactivechart is not usable on mobile phone]
2. CDC National Institute on drug abuse (NIDA) data
Text under Figure 2 at https://nida.nih.gov/research-topics/trends-statistics/overdose-death-rates
[No long or even short quote here—site would not cooperate with my phone.]