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henjin's avatar

You wrote: "It's stunning that 43% of all people (61,976) died after their 3rd shot, but only 23% (~4.3M) of the doses were issued as the 3rd shot or basically someone's first booster shot."

However most deaths are of course in elderly people, and most elderly people got a booster. And people also spent more time on average under the third dose than the first dose. I got much lower ASMR for people whose newest dose was the third dose than for unvaccinated people or people with only 1 or 2 doses: sars2.net/czech.html#Plot_for_ASMR_by_dose_and_date.

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You wrote that "Steve Kirsch said vaccines were rolled out 'haphazardly' or randomly or basically whatever was on hand".

However Kirsch was wrong when he said that people were not allowed to choose the vaccine type, because I now found that there was a dropdown for choosing your preferred vaccine type in the form for registering a vaccine appointment: sars2.net/czech4.html#Kirschs_claim_that_people_were_not_allowed_to_choose_if_they_got_a_Moderna_or_Pfizer_vaccine.

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I took data for the number of adverse events per batch from this spreadsheet: https://github.com/PalackyUniversity/batch-dependent-safety/blob/main/data/SUKL-batches-AE.xlsx. The authors who published the data said that they received the data on July 4th 2023, so I took data for doses administered up to that date from the record-level data. But out of 136 batches that were included in both sources, FN5519 ranked 13th lowest for adverse event reports per doses administered.

In the code below I calculated an excess mortality percent for each batch in the record-level data from the day of vaccination up to the end of 2022. I calculated the expected number of deaths for each batch by multiplying the number of person-days for each combination of age group and ongoing month with the mortality rate among all people included in the record-level data for the same combination of age group and ongoing month. But now FN5519 got about -8% excess mortality, which was the 56th highest excess mortality percentage out of a total of 179 batches:

b=fread("curl -Ls sars2.net/f/czbucketsbatchkeep.csv.xz|xz -dc")[,age:=pmin(age,95)%/%5*5]

a=merge(b[dose>0&batch!=""&type!="Other"],b[dose<=1,.(base=sum(dead)/sum(alive)),.(age,month)])[,base:=base*alive]

a=a[,.(alive=sum(alive),dead=sum(dead),base=sum(base)),.(batch,age,type)]

p=a[,.(excess=(sum(dead)/sum(base)-1)*100),.(batch,type)]

print(p[order(-excess)],nrow=Inf)

When I tried similarly comparing the excess mortality percentage of each batch to the number of adverse event reports per dose, the correlation was close to zero: sars2.net/czech3.html#Batch_study_by_authors_from_Palack_University. So I don't know if you can determine how toxic a batch is based on the all-cause mortality of people who got a vaccine dose from the batch.

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Tomas Hull's avatar

This is very good…

Thank you!

I hate stats that’s why they moved me to analyze the causes nobody wanted to do…

It was their mistake… lol

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